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NFL Week 1 Betting Guide Spread moneyline overunder picks

While DFS and season-long fantasy football leagues create a giddy feeling among football enthusiasts at this time of the year, tens of millions of American adults will wager on Week 1 NFL gamesthis weekend — be it against the spread, on the money line, or over/under the total. BetQL helps bettors make informed decisions by giving them full acce s to their proprietary NFL Model. Premium members have full acce s to weekly , , , , and all of their other tools to help ensure you make the most profitable betting picks po sible.

As always, I used BetQLs features to inform my bets. Here are my favorite picks of the week.

Week 1 DFS Lineups:| Detroit Lions Kids Jersey | | | |

NFL Week 1 Betting Picks: Spread pick of the week

All data presented is as of Thursday evening.

Ravens (-6.5) @ Dolphins

The Ravens opened as 3.5-point road favorites, but after the Dolphins traded away their best players in a shocking and overt display of tanking, Baltimores line moved to -6.5. In case you were wondering, their consensus moneyline opened at -210 and moved all the way to -310 in that same span, as 82 percentof the money has been wagered on the Ravens (spread and moneyline).

Baltimore Aidan Hutchinson Jerseys ranked third in and will immediately get an advantageous matchup against Ryan Fitzpatrick, a depleted Miami offensive line, unproven backfield, and underwhelming slew of receivers. Lamar Jacksons dynamic dual-threat nature of quarterbacking could result in a bunch of easy points for the Ravens offense, as well. If theres a blowout that will happen in Week 1, theres a strong chance it will be this game.

WEEK 1 DFS: | |

NFL Week 1 Betting Picks: Moneyline pick of the week

Levi Onwuzurike Jerseys Chiefs (-180) @ Jaguars

Although 63 percentof tickets have been written on Kansas Citys moneyline, a whopping 89 percent of the money has been bet on Patrick Mahomes and company. We refer to that 26-percentpositive difference as the Pro Edge, meaning the Chiefs are a sharp moneyline bet .Leonard Fournette is seemingly back to full health, Jacksonvilles defense should be formidable yet again, and the team acquired Nick Foles as an upgrade over Blake Bortles, but bettors are focusing more on a Chiefs offense that was the league's top unit a wide margin last year according to (and most counting statistics).

Even though Fournette is a threat to run all over Kansas Citys defense, reigning MVP Mahomes should be able to move the ball with ease. Since a moneyline bet is simply picking an outright winner, think about who you have more confidence in: Mahomes in the second full year under Andy Reid with a slew of weapons around him or Foles in his first Julian Okwara Jerseys year with the Jaguars throwing to a questionable group of receivers. Id take the former, even though the Chiefs are on the road.

Week 1 Non-PPR Fantasy Rankings: | | | | |

NFL Week 1 Betting Picks: Over/under pick of the week

OVER51.0 Total Points (49ers vs. Buccaneers)

This game has seen the second-largest point total increase. After opening at 48.5, the total was bet up to 51.0, one of just three games on the entire slate to surpa s the 50-point threshold. So far, 69 percentof the tickets have been written on the OVER, while 71 percentof the money has also gone there.

Although defensive effectivene s is variable on a year-to-year basis in the NFL, its worth mentioning that the Jessie Lemonier Jerseys 49ers had an NFL-low two interceptions as a team last season. Yes, two. No other team had fewer than seven. That creates a positive outlook for the turnover-prone Jameis Winston, who has had a knack of throwing picks throughout his career. However, Winstons mystifyingly-awful decision-making has led to a lot of scoring at times in recent yearssince hes willing to take shots down the field Tracy Walker III Jerseys . Armed with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard, among others, expect Winston to air it out a lot in this game, especially due to the question marks surrounding Tampa Bays running game.

Meanwhile, Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco offense should have no problem going up the field against a Tampa Bay pa s defense that was among the worst in the NFL last year.

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